Recently, the ministry of industry and information technology issued by the "high-end equipment manufacturing industry" twelfth five-year "development plan" to current times, stainless steel market is good, operators cautious optimism with regard to the late stainless steel market, forecasts may mid to late 300 series stainless steel prices in the domestic market is expected to shock upside, 200 series and 400 series stainless steel prices leveled off.
According to the operator, according to market research and industry recently, the domestic stainless steel market seems to have no improvement, trading is relatively flat, manufacturers selling is not smooth, small fluctuations in price stability. After entering in May, due to selling pressure, in some parts of the 400 series stainless steel market prices fell slightly, foshan, wuxi stainless steel market of 430 series stainless steel price 10300-10400 yuan/ton.
Also, the domestic market of 304 series stainless steel prices also fell slightly. Some of the main market of 304 stainless steel material, 1.0 mm stainless steel cold roll of average price 19140 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton. In wuxi market 300 is 2.0 mm to 2.0 mm stainless steel cold roll price 18600-18800 yuan/ton; 4.0 mm, 8.0 mm and 12.0 mm stainless steel hot rolling plate market price respectively is 17900, 18000, 18300 yuan/ton.
By contrast, 200 series stainless steel market price stability, others have higher stability. At the end of April in early may, as in the 201 department of wuxi, foshan on cold-rolled stainless steel prices rose 200 yuan, 12000 yuan/ton; Other cities in the 201 series of cold-rolled stainless steel prices rose 300 yuan, price 12100-12400 yuan/ton.
From the overall, this paragraph of time the stainless steel market presents a weak state, main reasons: one is the needs of downstream terminal no significant release, light volume, market trading volume is not big; 2 it is loose market price of raw materials, such as the main raw material of smelting stainless steel nickel market shocks, the LME nickel disadvantaged consolidation, domestic electrolytic nickel spot market cold and cheerless, trading, price correction operation. Some downstream end users because this week the north high nickel iron some steel mills cut may enquiry price, some users may temporarily not signed orders, markets wait-and-see atmosphere. Domestic stainless steel scrap market weak, clinch a deal. Chrome alloy market also impress, prophase ferrochrome prices decline shocks, the current test after stabilization, high chromium clinch a deal valence in 7650-7800 yuan/ton, import ferrochrome price 7950-8450 yuan/ton. 3 it is down the price of steel factory. As the main raw material of stainless steel prices fell, the production cost reduced, combined with the market price and the leading steel producer price between upside down significantly, some of the major steel mills in May for stainless steel products futures prices are lowered accordingly, some steel mills 304 cold-rolled stainless steel factory prices by 300 yuan/ton, 304 hot rolling stainless steel factory prices by 200 yuan/ton, 430 cold-rolled stainless steel factory prices by 600 yuan/ton, partly from the spot market partially stainless steel price swings.
In addition, the stainless steel production growth, more than the growth of the market demand, the protruding contradiction between supply and demand. According to 1-32 special steel companies, domestic crude steel production in March, according to the statistical stainless crude steel output of 1264776 tons, up 14.12%; Part of the stainless steel production of crude steel and stainless steel material increase significantly. Such as 1 - chrome stainless steel production rose 21.05% in March. Stainless steel crude steel Cr - Mn steel output of 808000 tons (200), compared with a quarter of 2011, an increase of 279000 tons, an increase of 52.86%, thus steel production is still sharply, but the downstream digestive ability is limited, the contradiction between supply and demand of the market will be more obvious.
Late for stainless steel market, however, some managers think can still look forward to the future of domestic stainless steel market, the downstream end demand will gradually release, support the stainless steel market, from the just released by the high-end equipment manufacturing industry "twelfth five-year" development planning, high-end equipment manufacturing industry will be rapid development, demand for stainless steel and other alloy structual is very strong.
In the "twelfth five-year" period, high-end equipment manufacturing industry sales revenue exceeds 6 trillion yuan, increased to 15% of the proportion in the equipment manufacturing industry, the industrial added value rate of 28%. And clear the aviation equipment, satellite and application, rail transportation equipment, Marine engineering equipment and intelligent manufacture equipment of the key tasks, including ZiGuiHua the orbit transportation equipment industry "twelfth five-year" development plan "clearly, grasp the opportunity of the development of rail transportation, speed up the adjustment of industrial structure and the change of the pattern of industrial development, technology innovation and the combination of international cooperation, to strengthen the construction of technology innovation system, promote the host and the coordinated development of the key system, break through the restraints on the development of rail transit equipment industry in China the train operation control system, security monitoring and other core technology and key parts and components, perfect test, certification, detection and other public service platform construction, improve industry core competitiveness, the orbit transportation equipment industry in China into the international leading high-end industry.
The orbit transportation equipment industry "twelfth five-year" development plan "pointed out that according to the state has approved the plan of urban rail transit construction, by 2015, more than 30 cities construction 85 rail transit lines, more than a total length of 2700 km. Demand is expected to "twelfth five-year" period, the emu is about more than 1000 columns, high-power ac drive freight electric locomotives and diesel locomotive demand is about more than 5000 units, passenger and cargo in vehicles, signal, machinery and other equipment also has a large market demand.
Rail transit equipment industry of stainless steel demand is very big, such as rail transportation vehicles are generally used in the stainless steel and aluminum alloy car. Stainless steel car pillow, in addition to the traction force big, centre sill, etc of parts are now using low alloy steel, stainless steel; the rest Calculated at midsize cars driving B (19 meters long, 2.8 meters wide, 3.8 meters high), on the basis of various types of vehicles with steel characteristics that all steel steel quantity is 25 tons; 23 tons of stainless steel, stainless steel is 7 tons. As rail transportation equipment industry rapid development, therefore, will pull the stainless steel demand and support the smooth running of the stainless steel market.
In addition, the steel mills more industrial structure adjustment, the control release capacity, stable valuation, prompted the stainless steel market running smoothly. It is reported, some steel mills began to lose 30% in May, and limit the market resources, hoping to pull up the market spot prices. In fact, the domestic stainless steel production capacity has not released in full, China special steel enterprises association in stainless steel branch, according to data released in 2011 China's stainless steel crude steel output of 12.591 million tons, year-on-year increase of 1.335 million tons, the growth of 11.86. Analyzes believed that in 2011 China's stainless steel output growth has been sharply down from 2010 high-speed growth to and 2012 stainless steel enterprise facing the situation is still difficult. , look from the total production capacity of 2011 China's stainless steel output has reached 20.4 million tons, and the actual output of 12.5 million tons, capacity utilization rate reached only 61.3%, far less than 84% of the iron and steel industry.
Also, recent nickel, chromium stainless steel raw material market prices higher for signs of stabilising. As Indonesia nickel ore export policy, nickel futures prices strong, thus the domestic ports ore spot prices fell slowly, to a certain extent, support the price of nickel and iron. Domestic manufacturers recently raised the electrolytic nickel (large plate) ex-factory price to 133000 yuan/ton, barrel small raised to 134200 yuan/ton, increase 3000 yuan/ton. Raw material price shock upside, stainless steel production costs rise, late will also support the domestic stainless steel market stabilization.
The personage inside course of study thinks, in view of the above factors, the market expected late stainless steel will be stable, 300 series stainless steel price rise is expected to shocks, 200 series and 400 series stainless steel price or will be stable as a whole. (source: the Internet)